Sungrow Power Supply(300274) 西南证券·2024-08-26 12:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company demonstrates robust profitability with significant growth potential in overseas markets [2] - The company's revenue for H1 2024 reached 31.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.4%, with net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 13.9% to 4.96 billion yuan [2] - In Q2 2024, revenue surged by 45.9% quarter-on-quarter to 18.41 billion yuan, with net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 36.6% to 2.86 billion yuan [2] Business Segments Photovoltaic Inverters and Power Electronics - Revenue from photovoltaic inverters and power electronics reached 13.09 billion yuan in H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.6%, with a gross margin of 37.6%, up 1.7 percentage points [2] - The company has expanded its overseas presence with over 20 branches, 490 service outlets, and partnerships in more than 170 countries and regions [2] - New product launches include the first microinverter series and a new generation of commercial and industrial string inverters [2] Energy Storage Systems - Revenue from energy storage systems was 7.82 billion yuan in H1 2024, down 8.3% year-on-year due to shipment and revenue recognition timing, but gross margin remained high at 40% [2] - The company secured major overseas projects, including a 7.8GWh project in the Middle East, an 880MWh project in Latin America, and an 800MWh project in Europe [2] New Energy Investment and Development - Revenue from new energy investment and development grew by 18.5% year-on-year to 8.95 billion yuan in H1 2024, with gross margin improving by 5.4 percentage points to 16.9% [3] - The company secured several domestic and international projects, including a 150MW wind project in Anhui and a 200MW wind project in Kazakhstan [3] Financial Projections - The company's revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 13.06% over the next three years, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to reach 11.53 billion yuan in 2024, 12.58 billion yuan in 2025, and 13.64 billion yuan in 2026 [3][4] - EPS is forecasted to increase from 5.56 yuan in 2024 to 6.58 yuan in 2026, with ROE expected to decline from 29.66% in 2024 to 22.62% in 2026 [4] Valuation Metrics - The company's PE ratio is projected to decrease from 12 in 2024 to 10 in 2026, while the PB ratio is expected to decline from 3.80 in 2024 to 2.41 in 2026 [4] - The EV/EBITDA ratio is forecasted to decrease from 8.28 in 2024 to 6.19 in 2026 [8]