Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][3]. Core Views - The company maintains a leading position in the construction management industry, achieving revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2024, with a steady expansion of contract and newly signed project areas. It has maintained over 20% market share for eight consecutive years [3]. - Due to short-term industry growth slowdown and increased competition leading to a decline in gross margin, the profit forecast has been revised downwards. The expected net profits for 2024-2026 are 1.106 billion, 1.320 billion, and 1.568 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.55, 0.66, and 0.78 yuan [3][4]. - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in the real estate market in the medium to long term, maintaining its "Buy" rating [3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.67 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%. The revenue from commercial construction, government construction, and other businesses was 1.31 billion, 330 million, and 30 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of +22.9%, -16.1%, and -66.7% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2024 was 501 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.8%. The gross margin and net margin were 51.5% and 29.4%, down 0.5 percentage points and 0.4 percentage points respectively [3]. - The company had cash on hand of 2.15 billion yuan at the end of the first half, with a current ratio of 1.4 times, and generated operating cash flow of 78 million yuan, indicating a relatively strong cash flow position [3]. Market Position and Order Growth - As of the end of the first half of 2024, the total contracted project area was 123 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, with an estimated total value of 892 billion yuan. The core city area accounted for 75.5%, with the Yangtze River Delta area accounting for 44.3% [3]. - The company’s new contract area in the first half of 2024 was 17.4 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%. The estimated project management fees were 4.19 billion yuan, down 18.1% year-on-year [3].
绿城管理控股：港股公司信息更新报告：行业竞争加剧，新拓订单增速放缓