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晋控煤业:2024年半年报点评:24H1盈利同比增长,资产注入值得期待

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Views - In the first half of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 7.379 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.99%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 3.67% to 1.436 billion yuan [2]. - The decline in profitability was influenced by the loss from the company's 20% stake in a financial company, which reported a year-on-year loss, resulting in a decrease of 91 million yuan in equity net profit [2]. - The company’s coal production and sales remained stable, with a slight decrease in selling prices, while the performance of the color-linked mine negatively impacted overall results [3]. - The controlling shareholder, Jinneng Holding Coal Industry Group, has substantial resource reserves and potential for asset injection into the company, which could significantly enhance its capacity [3]. - The company has a strong cash position, with net cash accounting for 56.41% of its market value, indicating financial stability [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 2.530 billion yuan, which is 1.76 times the net profit attributable to shareholders [3]. - The company’s coal production in H1 2024 was 16.9275 million tons, a decrease of 0.47% year-on-year, while coal sales were 14.4518 million tons, down 0.22% [3]. - The average selling price of coal was 495.23 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 1.83% [3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.992 billion yuan, 3.241 billion yuan, and 3.343 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4]. - Corresponding EPS for these years are expected to be 1.79 yuan, 1.94 yuan, and 2.00 yuan per share, with PE ratios of 8, 7, and 7 times [4]. Market Position - The company’s controlling shareholder has a total coal production capacity of approximately 438 million tons per year, while the company itself has a capacity of only 50.5 million tons per year, indicating significant potential for future growth through asset injections [3].