HONGLU(SZ:002541) CAITONG SECURITIES·2024-08-31 10:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1][7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 10.326 billion yuan for H1 2024, a decrease of 6.73% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 428 million yuan, down 22.58% year-on-year [2][3] - The decline in profitability is attributed to intensified competition and falling steel prices, which have pressured the net profit per ton [3][6] - The company has maintained a stable gross margin of 10.71%, with R&D expenses continuing to increase, reflecting ongoing investments in smart manufacturing [3][6] Financial Performance Summary - H1 2024 revenue: 10.326 billion yuan, down 6.73% YoY; net profit: 428 million yuan, down 22.58% YoY; net profit margin: 4.14%, down 0.85 percentage points YoY [2][3] - Q2 2024 revenue: 5.899 billion yuan, down 2.56% YoY; net profit: 225 million yuan, down 36.13% YoY [2][3] - The company’s gross profit margin remained stable at 10.71%, with a slight increase of 0.06 percentage points YoY [3][6] - The company’s R&D expense ratio increased to 3.21%, up 1.37 percentage points YoY, indicating a commitment to innovation [3][6] Future Projections - Expected revenue for 2024-2026: 25.778 billion yuan, 28.994 billion yuan, and 33.213 billion yuan respectively; expected net profit: 1.011 billion yuan, 1.134 billion yuan, and 1.373 billion yuan respectively [3][7] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratios based on the closing price on August 30 are projected to be 8.16, 7.27, and 6.01 for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [3][7]