Core Viewpoint - The credit rating agency maintains the long-term credit rating of Anhui Honglu Steel Structure (Group) Co., Ltd. at AA, with a stable outlook for both the company and its convertible bonds, indicating strong operational management and competitive advantages in the domestic steel structure industry [1][3][4]. Company Overview - Anhui Honglu Steel Structure (Group) Co., Ltd. was established in 2002 and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in January 2011, focusing on steel structure manufacturing and related engineering services [7]. - As of March 2025, the company has a registered capital of 690 million yuan, with the controlling shareholders holding a combined 46.97% stake [7]. Financial Performance - The company reported total assets of 252.41 billion yuan and equity of 96.14 billion yuan by the end of 2024, with total revenue of 215.14 billion yuan and a profit of 8.29 billion yuan [7][6]. - As of March 2025, the company’s total assets were 251.13 billion yuan, with a revenue of 48.15 billion yuan for the first quarter [7]. Production Capacity and Operations - The company’s production capacity is projected to reach 5.2 million tons per year by the end of 2024, with ten production bases strategically located across various regions [3][4]. - The company emphasizes intelligent manufacturing and has made significant investments in upgrading production processes to enhance efficiency and precision [4][13]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company maintains a strong competitive position in the steel structure sector, benefiting from economies of scale and a well-established supply chain [4][13]. - The company’s ability to handle complex manufacturing orders with high precision and tight deadlines is a key competitive advantage [4][13]. Industry Analysis - The steel structure industry in China is expected to grow, driven by increasing demand for prefabricated buildings and government policies promoting green construction [10][12]. - The industry faces challenges such as fluctuating raw material prices, which can impact operational costs and profit margins [5][10]. Future Outlook - The company plans to continue investing in research and development to maintain its technological leadership in the steel structure manufacturing sector [16]. - The company aims to enhance production efficiency through further automation and smart manufacturing initiatives [16].

安徽鸿路钢结构（集团）股份有限公司 公开发行可转换公司债券 2025 年跟踪评级报告 China Lianhe Credit Rating Co.,Ltd. 1 www.lhratings.com 联合资信评估股份有限公司 联合〔2025〕3926 号 联合资信评估股份有限公司通过对安徽鸿路钢结构(集团)股份 有限公司主体及其相关债券的信用状况进行跟踪分析和评估，确定 维持安徽鸿路钢结构（集团）股份有限公司主体长期信用等级为 AA， 维持"鸿路转债"信用等级为 AA，评级展望为稳定。 特此公告 联合资信评估股份有限公司 评级总监： 二〇二五年六月六日 跟踪评级报告 | 2 声 明 一、本报告是联合资信基于评级方法和评级程序得出的截至发表之日的 独立意见陈述，未受任何机构或个人影响。评级结论及相关分析为联合资信 基于相关信息和资料对评级对象所发表的前瞻性观点，而非对评级对象的事 实陈述或鉴证意见。联合资信有充分理由保证所出具的评级报告遵循了真 实、客观、公正的原则。鉴于信用评级工作特性及受客观条件影响，本报告 在资料信息获取、评级方法与模型、未来事项预测评估等方面存在局限性。 二、本报告系联合资信接受安徽鸿路钢 ...

Core Viewpoint - Honglu Steel Structure has signed a significant procurement contract for steel structures, which is expected to positively impact its revenue and profit in 2025 [1] Group 1: Contract and Financial Impact - Honglu Steel Structure's subsidiary, Anhui Hongxiang, received a procurement contract from China Seventeenth Metallurgical Group for approximately 91,400 tons of steel structures, valued at about 458 million yuan [1] - The implementation of this project is anticipated to have a positive effect on the company's revenue and profit in 2025 [1] Group 2: Recent Performance Metrics - In Q1, Honglu Steel Structure achieved a revenue of 4.815 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.78%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 32.78% to 137 million yuan due to a significant reduction in non-recurring gains [2] - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring items was 115 million yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 31.27% [2] - The operating cash flow turned negative in Q1, with a net cash flow of -195 million yuan [2] Group 3: Long-term Strategy and Investments - Honglu Steel Structure is focusing on smart transformation to enhance production capacity, reduce costs, and improve product quality, with R&D investment reaching 740 million yuan in 2024 [3] - The company has deployed nearly 2,000 lightweight welding robots and rail-type robotic welding stations across its ten production bases [3] - As a leading player in the domestic steel structure industry, Honglu Steel Structure has significantly increased its production capacity, reaching an annual capacity of 5.2 million tons by the end of 2024 [3]

| 证券代码：002541 | 证券简称：鸿路钢构 | 公告编号：2025-034 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：128134 | 债券简称：鸿路转债 | | 安徽鸿路钢结构(集团)股份有限公司 关于公司全资子公司签订重大经营合同的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、合同的生效条件：由双方法定代表人（或授权代表）签字并加盖公章（或合 同专用章）后生效。 2、合同的重大风险及重大不确定性： 合同双方均具有履约能力，但鉴于在合同履行过程中，国家有关法律法规及 政策的变化、自然灾害、社会性突发事件等不可抗力及其他不可预计的事件等可 能会影响合同的顺利履行，因此存在一定履约风险和不确定性。敬请广大投资者 注意投资风险。 一、合同签署概况 安徽鸿路钢结构（集团）股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）全资子公司安 徽鸿翔建材有限公司（以下简称"安徽鸿翔"），近日收到中国十七冶集团有限 公司（以下简称"中国十七冶"）关于振石绿色高端镍铬新材智造项目钢结构成 品采购合同，钢结构制作暂估量为 91,425 吨，暂估价为 4 ...

Group 1 - The company announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Anhui Hongxiang Building Materials Co., Ltd., has signed a steel structure procurement contract with China Seventeen Metallurgical Group Co., Ltd. for the Zhenstone Green High-end Nickel-Chromium New Material Intelligent Manufacturing Project [1] - The estimated quantity of steel structure production is 91,425 tons, with an estimated value of 458 million yuan [1] - This contract accounts for approximately 2.13% of the company's audited main business revenue for the year 2024 [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the urgent need for transformation and upgrading in the steel structure industry, highlighting the demand for intelligent automation to address pain points in production processes [1][16] - The company has significantly increased its investment in welding robots, with R&D expense ratios rising to 2.97% and 3.44% for 2023 and 2024 respectively, indicating a commitment to technological advancement [2][17] - The welding robots are expected to enhance quality, reduce costs, increase production capacity, and create new revenue streams through external sales of robotic products [4][23] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The steel structure processing industry faces challenges due to its reliance on manual labor, leading to high costs and inconsistent product quality. The national policy aims to promote intelligent construction, with a target of over 50% automation in key processes by 2035 [1][16] Company Development - The company has developed and deployed welding robots, with nearly 2000 units expected to be operational by the end of 2024. The robots are designed to handle complex welding tasks, leveraging accumulated production data for continuous improvement [2][17] Technical Milestones - The company has successfully overcome the second of four technical hurdles in welding robot development, with patents filed for advanced welding technologies [3][21] Economic Benefits - The introduction of welding robots is projected to lower costs by approximately 88 CNY per ton, with an annual cost reduction of 400 million CNY anticipated from replacing manual labor [9][24] - Increasing production capacity to 936 million tons through enhanced utilization of welding robots could lead to a theoretical net profit of 21.3 billion CNY, representing a 343% increase compared to 2024 [10][26] Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 8.7 billion, 10.4 billion, and 12.5 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 13%, 20%, and 20% [11][27]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [5] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the urgent need for transformation and upgrading in the steel structure industry, highlighting the demand for automation and intelligent upgrades due to the challenges of manual welding processes [1][16] - The company has significantly increased its investment in welding robots, with R&D expense ratios rising to 2.97% and 3.44% for 2023 and 2024 respectively, indicating a commitment to technological advancement [2][17] - The welding robots are expected to enhance product quality, reduce costs, increase production capacity, and create new revenue streams through external sales of robotic products [4][23] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The steel structure processing industry faces challenges such as high labor costs, resource shortages, and inconsistent product quality due to reliance on manual welding [1][16] - The Chinese government has set goals for the development of intelligent construction, aiming for over 50% CNC rate in key processes by 2035 [1][16] Company Development - The company has been actively developing and deploying welding robots, with nearly 2000 units expected to be operational by the end of 2024 [2][17] - The company has successfully developed its own "arc welding robot control system," which is now in use across its production bases [2][17] Technical Milestones - The company has overcome significant technical barriers in welding robot development, having recently applied for a patent for a new type of welding robot [3][21] - The report outlines four levels of welding complexity, with the company currently having surpassed the second level [3][21] Economic Benefits - Cost reduction is projected at 88 RMB per ton, with an annual savings of 400 million RMB from replacing manual welders with robots [9][24] - Production capacity is expected to double, potentially reaching 936 million tons, leading to an estimated increase in net profit of 12.5 billion RMB [10][25] Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 8.7 billion, 10.4 billion, and 12.5 billion RMB, reflecting growth rates of 13%, 20%, and 20% respectively [11][27] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 15, 12, and 10 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [11][27]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that Honglu Steel Structure (002541.SZ) is expected to see significant profit growth from 2025 to 2027, driven by rising steel prices and macro demand recovery, with projected net profits of 870 million, 1.04 billion, and 1.25 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 13%, 20%, and 20% [1] Group 1: Company Performance and Projections - The company is a leading player in steel structure manufacturing with a solid competitive advantage and ongoing management optimization [1] - In Q1 2025, the company has shown upward trends in orders, production, revenue, and net profit per ton, indicating a recovery in performance [1] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 15, 12, and 10 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, suggesting that the valuation remains low [1] Group 2: Industry Trends and Technological Advancements - The steel structure industry is facing increasing demands for automation and intelligent upgrades, particularly in welding processes, which are traditionally labor-intensive and variable in quality [5] - The Chinese government's "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the development of intelligent construction, predicting that by 2035, the automation rate in steel structure manufacturing will exceed 50% [5] - The company has been actively developing and deploying welding robots, with significant increases in R&D spending projected for 2023 and 2024 [8] Group 3: Benefits of Welding Robots - The introduction of welding robots is expected to enhance product quality, reduce labor costs, increase production capacity, and create new revenue streams through external sales of robotic products [13] - Cost reduction estimates suggest that the company could lower costs by 88 yuan per ton by replacing a significant portion of manual welding with robotic processes [14][15] - Production capacity could potentially double with the implementation of welding robots, leading to an estimated increase in net profit of 12.5 billion yuan from additional production [18][20]

Group 1: Company Operations and Technology - The company has developed a replicable information management system to ensure product quality and timely project execution, essential for multi-base production [1] - The information system integrates with OA, HR, and NC systems, enhancing work efficiency and reducing costs through features like production tracking and automatic wage calculation [2] - The company has invested in advanced equipment for smart manufacturing, including nearly 2,000 lightweight welding robots and various automated production lines [2] Group 2: Production Capacity and Expansion Plans - By the end of 2024, the company's steel structure product capacity is expected to reach 5.2 million tons, supported by ten production bases [2] - The company is focused on optimizing control at every production stage to enhance core competitiveness [2] - The company is gradually increasing its indirect export business and is considering further overseas expansion based on market conditions [2] Group 3: Financial and Investment Insights - The company has issued convertible bonds worth 1.88 billion yuan and is focused on improving performance regarding bond-related matters [3] - Current order levels are satisfactory, with the company reporting a saturated order book [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [2][4]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, indicating a potential operational turning point. Revenue for Q1 2025 reached 4.815 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.78%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 137 million yuan, down 32.78% year-on-year. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 31.27% year-on-year [7][8]. - The company signed new sales contracts worth approximately 7.052 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a 1.25% year-on-year increase, alongside a significant production increase of 14.29% to approximately 1.049 million tons [7][8]. - The report highlights a decrease in gross margin to 9.83%, down 0.76 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to falling steel prices, with the average price of hot-rolled coil in Shanghai at 3,400 yuan per ton, a 14% decline year-on-year [7][8]. - The company has scaled up the use of welding robots, which is expected to reduce costs. Nearly 2,000 welding robots have been deployed across its production bases, enhancing production efficiency and product quality [7][8]. - Future earnings are projected to improve, with expected EPS of 1.30, 1.51, and 1.75 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 15x, 13x, and 11x [7][8]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is forecasted to grow from 21.514 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.837 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.1% [3][8]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 772 million yuan in 2024 to 1.207 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 15.7% [3][8]. - The company's total assets are projected to increase from 25.241 billion yuan in 2024 to 32.543 billion yuan in 2027, indicating a solid growth trajectory [8].