YILI(600887) Huaan Securities·2024-09-01 06:11Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company is expected to see a sequential improvement in H2 2024, focusing on long-term growth [2][9] - The company reported a revenue of 59.696 billion (down 9.53%) and a net profit of 7.531 billion (up 19.44%) for H1 2024 [6][9] - The Q2 revenue was 27.233 billion (down 16.60%), with a net profit of 1.608 billion (down 40.21%) [6] Revenue Summary - Q2 revenue breakdown: liquid milk 16.626 billion (down 19.61%), milk powder 7.081 billion (up 16.49%), and cold drinks 2.989 billion (down 44.27%) [7] - The company actively adjusted its market share in Q2 to address challenges, leading to weaker performance in liquid milk [7] Profitability Summary - Q2 gross margin increased by 1.1 percentage points to 33.58%, driven by lower raw milk costs [8] - The net profit margin for Q2 was 5.94%, down 2.32 percentage points year-on-year, impacted by credit impairment losses of 440 million [8] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation, anticipating improved performance in H2 2024 as inventory levels stabilize and cost efficiencies are realized [9] - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are projected at 1218.95 billion, 1277.32 billion, and 1331.9 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 114.79 billion, 109.77 billion, and 118.16 billion [9][10]