Haoneng(603809) 西南证券·2024-09-02 05:51Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved robust revenue growth and improved profitability in H1 2024, with revenue reaching 1.136 billion yuan, up 37.81% YoY, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 162 million yuan, up 81.71% YoY [1] - The company's gross margin in H1 2024 was 33.92%, up 3.34 percentage points YoY, and the net margin was 14.23%, up 3.47 percentage points YoY [1] - The company's differential business grew rapidly, with revenue from Luzhou Haoneng increasing by 99.11% YoY to 294 million yuan, and net profit increasing by 123.73% YoY to 4.89 million yuan [2] - The company's international competitiveness has strengthened, with export revenue reaching 136 million yuan, up 28.90% YoY, and aerospace business revenue reaching 126 million yuan, up 10.85% YoY [2] - The company is expected to achieve EPS of 0.52/0.63/0.79 yuan in 2024-2026, with a three-year CAGR of net profit attributable to shareholders of 35.95% [2] Financial Performance - Revenue in H1 2024 was 1.136 billion yuan, up 37.81% YoY, with Q2 revenue of 590 million yuan, up 32.37% YoY and 8.02% QoQ [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders in H1 2024 was 162 million yuan, up 81.71% YoY, with Q2 net profit of 82 million yuan, up 79.36% YoY and 3.09% QoQ [1] - Gross margin in H1 2024 was 33.92%, up 3.34 percentage points YoY, and net margin was 14.23%, up 3.47 percentage points YoY [1] - Sales/management/R&D expense ratios in H1 2024 were 1.49%/4.79%/6.27%, up 0.25 percentage points, down 1.02 percentage points, and up 0.63 percentage points YoY, respectively [1] Business Highlights - The company is actively expanding its differential business, aiming to become a leading domestic differential manufacturer, with plans to build a production capacity of 10 million sets of differential assemblies in two phases [2] - The company has established partnerships with major clients such as BYD, Magna, Geely, Schaeffler, BorgWarner, and Inovance in the field of differential products for new energy vehicles [2] - The company is accelerating the construction of production lines for new energy vehicle motor shafts, stators, rotors, and planetary reducers to enhance its supporting capabilities and cultivate new profit growth points [2] - The company's aerospace business has entered a new stage, with products involving rocket structural components and partnerships with commercial aerospace companies such as iSpace and CAS Space [2] Financial Forecast - Revenue is expected to reach 2.351 billion yuan in 2024, 2.717 billion yuan in 2025, and 3.113 billion yuan in 2026, with YoY growth rates of 20.86%, 15.53%, and 14.57%, respectively [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 303.62 million yuan in 2024, 367.92 million yuan in 2025, and 457.19 million yuan in 2026, with YoY growth rates of 66.86%, 21.18%, and 24.26%, respectively [3] - EPS is expected to be 0.52 yuan in 2024, 0.63 yuan in 2025, and 0.79 yuan in 2026 [3] - ROE is expected to be 12.64% in 2024, 13.79% in 2025, and 15.23% in 2026 [3]