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英伟达:2025财年二季报点评:收入指引低于预期,长期逻辑不变
NVDANvidia(NVDA) 东吴证券·2024-09-02 06:04

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 30.04billionforQ2FY2025,whichisayearonyearincreaseof12230.04 billion for Q2 FY2025, which is a year-on-year increase of 122% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15%, exceeding consensus expectations of 28.86 billion [10]. - Non-GAAP gross margin was 75.7%, up 4.5 percentage points year-on-year but down 3.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, slightly above the consensus expectation of 75.5% [10]. - Non-GAAP net profit reached 16.95billion,ayearonyearincreaseof15216.95 billion, a year-on-year increase of 152% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11%, also surpassing the consensus estimate of 15.96 billion [10]. - The company provided guidance for Q3 FY2025 revenue at 32.5billion,withayearonyeargrowthof7932.5 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 79% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 8% [11]. Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for FY2024, FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 are 60.92 billion, 124.92billion,124.92 billion, 178.63 billion, and 205.42billionrespectively,withyearonyeargrowthratesof126205.42 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 126%, 105%, 43%, and 15% [17]. - Non-GAAP net profit forecasts for the same periods are 32.31 billion, 68.55billion,68.55 billion, 98.96 billion, and 115.73billion,withyearonyeargrowthratesof286115.73 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 286%, 112%, 44%, and 17% [17]. - The projected EPS for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 are 2.68, 3.91,and3.91, and 4.59 respectively [17]. Business Segments - The data center business revenue for Q2 FY2025 was 26.27billion,ayearonyearincreaseof15426.27 billion, a year-on-year increase of 154% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16% [11]. - The computing business revenue was 22.6 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 162% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17% [11]. - The networking business revenue was $3.7 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 114% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16% [11]. Long-term Outlook - The long-term growth logic remains intact despite short-term disruptions from product delays [2]. - The company anticipates significant demand for its products, particularly in AI and cloud services, which are expected to drive sustainable growth [11].