DKEM(300842) 东海证券·2024-09-03 14:30Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 7.587 billion yuan in H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 118.30%, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 233 million yuan, up 14.89% year-on-year [4] - Non-recurring losses impacted short-term profitability, with a total of -117 million yuan in H1 2024, mainly due to fluctuations in silver prices and exchange rates affecting financial assets and liabilities [4] - The company's TOPCon silver paste shipments reached 1,132.05 tons in H1 2024, a year-on-year increase of 76.09%, with TOPCon paste accounting for 87.28% of total shipments [4] - The company's operating cash flow turned positive in H1 2024, reaching 638 million yuan, with expectations of continued improvement in cash flow [4] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 15.336 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 59.70%, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 549 million yuan [5] Financial Performance - In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.942 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 104.58%, with net profit attributable to the parent company of 57 million yuan, down 50.89% year-on-year [4] - The company's gross margin in Q2 2024 was 10.99%, an increase of 0.34 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company's R&D expenses in 2024 are expected to be 491 million yuan, accounting for 3% of revenue [7] - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 42.34% from 2024 to 2026 [6] Industry and Technology - The company maintains a leading position in the photovoltaic conductive silver paste market, with a focus on N-type TOPCon battery metalization solutions [4] - The company's HJT and IBC paste products are in the stage of mass production, with product performance leading the industry [4] - The company's technological advantages in TOPCon silver paste are expected to be maintained due to ongoing technological iterations [4] Valuation and Forecast - The company's 2024-2026 revenue forecasts have been revised upward to 15.336 billion yuan, 17.517 billion yuan, and 19.448 billion yuan, respectively [5] - The company's 2024-2026 net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 549 million yuan, 645 million yuan, and 741 million yuan, respectively [5] - The company's current P/E ratio is 9.03x for 2024, 7.67x for 2025, and 6.68x for 2026 [5] - The company's ROE is expected to be 25% in 2024, 23% in 2025, and 21% in 2026 [6]