NJGK(600064) 开源证券·2024-09-04 02:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Nanjing Gaoke (600064 SH) [1][3] Core Views - Revenue and net profit declined in H1 2024, with revenue down 62 35% YoY to 1 044 billion yuan and net profit down 11 69% YoY to 1 023 billion yuan [3] - Gross margin improved by 5 75 percentage points to 16 92%, while net margin surged by 56 55 percentage points to 98 64% due to a significant increase in investment income relative to revenue [3] - The company's diversified business and smooth financing channels are expected to drive continuous performance improvement [3] Business Performance - Real estate development revenue dropped 80 73% YoY to 446 million yuan, while municipal infrastructure construction revenue grew 46 07% YoY to 430 million yuan [4] - Investment income decreased by 7 32% YoY to 1 057 billion yuan, with a fair value change loss of 112 million yuan [4] - The company held securities with a book value of 2 494 billion yuan as of June 30, 2024 [4] Financial Performance - Operating cash flow was negative at 592 million yuan in H1 2024, indicating room for improvement [5] - The company's asset liability ratio stood at 49 16%, with a current ratio of 1 18 and a quick ratio of 0 42 [5] - Period expenses increased by 2 percentage points to 2 98% [5] Financing and Liquidity - The company issued two tranches of ultra short term bonds totaling 1 25 billion yuan in H1 2024, with coupon rates of 2 73% and 2 35%, maintaining low financing costs [6] - As of June 30, 2024, the company had a loan balance of 500 million yuan with Nanjing Bank, with total interest payments of 7 1778 million yuan in H1 2024 [6] Valuation and Forecast - The report forecasts net profit of 1 91 billion yuan, 2 21 billion yuan, and 2 46 billion yuan for 2024 2026, with EPS of 1 1 yuan, 1 3 yuan, and 1 4 yuan respectively [3] - The current stock price implies a PE ratio of 5 2x, 4 5x, and 4 1x for 2024 2026 [3]