IRAY TECHNOLOGY(688301) 中泰证券·2024-09-05 03:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative market performance of 5%-15% over the next 6-12 months [2][11] Core Views - The company achieved record-high revenue in Q2 2024, but performance was impacted by equity incentive expenses and fair value changes [4][5] - Revenue growth was driven by new detector technologies and increased investment in core components [5] - The company continues to strengthen its R&D capabilities, with significant progress in sensor design and CT detector technology [5][6] Financial Performance Revenue and Profit - 2024H1 revenue reached 1,026 million yuan, up 7.20% YoY, while net profit declined 5.30% to 307 million yuan [4] - Q2 2024 revenue hit a record 535 million yuan, up 3.56% YoY and 9.03% QoQ [5] - Revenue from new sensor technology-based detectors exceeded 258 million yuan, and core component revenue approached 100 million yuan [5] Profitability - Gross margin declined to 54.15% in 2024H1, down 4.10 percentage points YoY [5] - Net profit margin decreased to 29.27%, down 4.01 percentage points YoY [5] - R&D expenses increased to 153 million yuan, accounting for 14.92% of revenue [5] Operational Efficiency - Inventory turnover days decreased to 292.16 days, down 19.85 days YoY [5] - Accounts receivable turnover days increased to 128.76 days, up 37.53 days YoY [5] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, with net cash flow from operations reaching 186 million yuan, up 68.91% YoY [5] Technology and Innovation - The company has developed a complete TFT sensor design system and made progress in CMOS and IGZO detector technologies [6] - Significant advancements have been made in CT detector technology, including the development of key components and system integration [6] - The company has expanded its core technology portfolio in high-voltage generators, tubes, and composite X-ray sources [6] Capital Raising and Investment - The company plans to raise up to 1.45 billion yuan through a private placement to invest in X-ray vacuum devices and integrated solutions [7] - The investment is expected to add significant production capacity for tubes and X-ray solutions, accelerating import substitution [7] Valuation and Forecast - The company's PE ratio is projected to decrease from 17.5x in 2024 to 11.4x in 2026 [1] - Revenue is expected to grow from 2,256 million yuan in 2024 to 3,416 million yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 23% [1] - Net profit is forecasted to increase from 749 million yuan in 2024 to 1,150 million yuan in 2026 [1] Industry Position - The company is a leader in the domestic flat panel detector industry, with continuous breakthroughs in product and technology development [7] - It is actively promoting the localization of X-ray core components and comprehensive solutions [7]