Kaiwen Education(SZ:002659) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-09-05 03:42Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Kevin Education (002659.SZ) with a market price of 3.76 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company's fundamentals continue to show positive confirmation, with expectations for revenue performance in the second half of the year [1]. - The performance aligns with expectations, with the company achieving a revenue of 152 million yuan in the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 18.9% [1]. - The second quarter is anticipated to be the lowest revenue quarter for the year, but the overall revenue outlook remains optimistic due to potential improvements in enrollment for the new academic year [1]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2022: 172 million yuan - 2023: 254 million yuan - 2024E: 307 million yuan - 2025E: 385 million yuan - 2026E: 492 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates: 2023: 48%, 2024E: 21%, 2025E: 26%, 2026E: 28% [1][2]. - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2022: -97 million yuan - 2023: -50 million yuan - 2024E: 10 million yuan - 2025E: 58 million yuan - 2026E: 109 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates: 2024E: 120%, 2025E: 489%, 2026E: 88% [1][2]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2024E: -0.16 to 0.18 [1]. - Cash Flow: - Cash flow per share is projected to improve from 0.11 in 2024E to 0.28 in 2026E [1]. - Return on Equity (ROE): - Expected to turn positive by 2025E with a forecast of 2.9% [2]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is expanding its domestic education offerings, including partnerships with Huawei and other educational institutions, which are expected to contribute to revenue growth [1]. - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming academic year for enrollment and revenue generation, particularly through summer training programs [1].