RIGOL(688337) 国元证券·2024-09-05 09:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its potential for sustained profit growth and long-term development [2] Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2024 was RMB 307 million, a year-on-year decrease of 1.24%, with net profit attributable to shareholders dropping by 83.40% [2] - Q2 2024 revenue increased by 1.09% year-on-year to RMB 156 million, but net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 94.16% [2] - The company's self-developed core technology platform supports revenue, with digital oscilloscope products accounting for 77.97% of sales in H1 2024, up 5.09 percentage points year-on-year [2] - NaiShu Electronics, a subsidiary, saw a 748.44% year-on-year increase in revenue in H1 2024, with orders worth RMB 69 million expected to be delivered within the year [2] - Gross margin improved to 56.67% in H1 2024, up 1.06 percentage points year-on-year, but net profit margin declined by 12.32 percentage points to 2.49% [2] - The company's R&D expense ratio increased to 28.74% in Q2 2024, up 6.33 percentage points year-on-year, supporting its core competitiveness [2] - New product launches, including the DS80000 series and DHO5000 series, are expected to drive future revenue growth [2] - The company's equity incentive plan sets growth targets of 15% for revenue and 10% for net profit in 2024 and 2025, with higher target values of 30% and 20% respectively [2] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 772.76 million in 2024E to RMB 1,144.26 million in 2026E, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.7% [3] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from RMB 109.07 million in 2024E to RMB 191.61 million in 2026E, with a CAGR of 32.5% [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from RMB 0.57 in 2024E to RMB 1.00 in 2026E [3] - The company's P/E ratio is expected to decline from 43.81x in 2024E to 24.94x in 2026E, reflecting anticipated earnings growth [3] Key Financial Metrics - Gross margin is projected to remain stable at around 56.8% to 57.8% from 2024E to 2026E [6] - Net profit margin is expected to improve from 14.11% in 2024E to 16.75% in 2026E [6] - Return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to increase from 3.74% in 2024E to 6.33% in 2026E [6] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio is expected to remain low, ranging from 9.62% to 10.64% from 2024E to 2026E [6] Industry and Market Context - The company operates in the technology hardware and equipment sector, with a focus on digital oscilloscopes and related products [2] - The report highlights the company's ability to replace foreign products, particularly in the high-end market, as a key competitive advantage [2] - The company's market capitalization is RMB 5,041.99 million, with a circulating market value of RMB 1,724.22 million [4]