RSPC(002493) 长城证券·2024-09-05 12:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [12]. Core Views - The company's performance in the refining sector has significantly improved, driven by high oil prices and steady demand in the chemical fiber industry [2][6]. - The company is advancing multiple quality enhancement projects to increase product value, which is expected to further boost performance [6][7]. - The controlling shareholder has initiated a share buyback plan to enhance investor confidence and stabilize the company's development [6][7]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 354.25 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.0% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 3.17 billion in 2024, reflecting a significant recovery with a year-on-year growth of 173.3% [1][7]. - The company's operating cash flow has improved dramatically, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 8.39 billion in the first half of 2024, up 468.29% year-on-year [2][6]. Segment Performance - The refining segment remains the largest contributor to revenue, with a revenue of 59.84 billion in the first half of 2024, up 8.68% year-on-year [2][6]. - The chemical products segment showed a slight decline in revenue, but profitability has improved, indicating a recovery in margins [2][6]. - The company has successfully launched a new α-olefin pilot plant, which is expected to enhance the supply of high-value products in the domestic market [6]. Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of approximately 87.59 billion, with a circulating market value of about 82.16 billion [3]. - The stock price as of September 4, 2024, was 8.65, reflecting the market's response to the company's recent performance and strategic initiatives [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 401.04 billion and 451.37 billion in 2025 and 2026, respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [1][7]. - The projected EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.31, 0.46, and 0.55, respectively, suggesting a recovery in profitability [1][7].