JIN LEI(300443) 长城证券·2024-09-10 12:13Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1][5]. Core Views - The company's short-term performance is under pressure, but the future outlook remains promising due to the growth potential in the wind power industry [2][5]. - The company reported a significant decline in net profit for H1 2024, but there are expectations for a recovery in profitability in the second half of the year [2][5]. Financial Summary - Revenue (Million CNY): - 2022A: 1,812 - 2023A: 1,946 - 2024E: 2,191 - 2025E: 2,931 - 2026E: 3,782 - Growth Rate (YoY %): 2024E: 12.6%, 2025E: 33.8%, 2026E: 29.0% [1][6][8] - Net Profit (Million CNY): - 2022A: 352 - 2023A: 412 - 2024E: 363 - 2025E: 564 - 2026E: 731 - Growth Rate (YoY %): 2024E: -12.0%, 2025E: 55.6%, 2026E: 29.6% [1][6][8] - EPS (CNY): - 2022A: 1.10 - 2023A: 1.29 - 2024E: 1.13 - 2025E: 1.76 - 2026E: 2.28 [1][6][8] Industry Insights - The wind power industry is expected to see significant growth, with a projected increase of 791 GW in global wind power capacity over the next five years [2]. - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from this growth, particularly in its forging and casting segments, which are expected to see increased demand [2][5]. Business Development - The company has successfully developed new clients and achieved a revenue increase of over 40% in precision shaft products, indicating a potential second growth curve [5]. - The company is expanding its capabilities in both forging and casting, with significant orders from major players in the wind power sector [2][5]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are as follows: - 2024: 2,191 million CNY - 2025: 2,931 million CNY - 2026: 3,782 million CNY - Net profit projections for the same period are: - 2024: 363 million CNY - 2025: 564 million CNY - 2026: 731 million CNY [5][6].