COMIX GROUP(002301) 海通证券·2024-09-12 00:08Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" and is maintained [1] Core Viewpoints - The company's B2B office procurement business has shown steady growth, with digital capabilities enhancing operational efficiency and customer reach [5] - The company's proprietary brand business has strengthened its ability to reach end customers through online and offline channels, including live streaming [5] - The company's SaaS software service continues to face losses, with a significant decline in revenue [5] - The company's gross margin has improved, driven by the B2B business, while the SaaS segment has seen a sharp decline in gross margin [5] - The company's net profit margin has slightly increased due to improved cost control and operational efficiency [5] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of RMB 4.997 billion, a YoY increase of 12.22%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 95 million, a YoY increase of 17.55% [5] - In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenue of RMB 2.807 billion, a YoY increase of 10.39%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 45 million, a YoY increase of 25.68% [5] - The B2B office procurement and proprietary brand business generated revenue of RMB 4.970 billion in H1 2024, a YoY increase of 12.71%, with a net profit of RMB 146 million [5] - The SaaS software service revenue declined by 37.62% to RMB 27.14 million, with a loss of RMB 51 million [5] - The company's gross margin in H1 2024 was 9.58%, an increase of 0.46 percentage points YoY [5] Financial Forecasts - The company is expected to achieve net profits of RMB 230 million and RMB 280 million in 2024 and 2025, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 199.5% and 21.8% [6] - The company's revenue is forecasted to grow to RMB 12.727 billion in 2024, RMB 14.627 billion in 2025, and RMB 16.811 billion in 2026, with YoY growth rates of 14.7%, 14.9%, and 14.9%, respectively [7] - The company's EPS is expected to be RMB 0.32 in 2024, RMB 0.39 in 2025, and RMB 0.47 in 2026 [7] - The company's ROE is projected to increase from 7.0% in 2024 to 9.1% in 2026 [7] Valuation and Peer Comparison - The company's PE ratio is 15.0x for 2024 and 12.3x for 2025, based on the closing price on September 11, 2024 [6] - The company's valuation range is estimated at RMB 6.40 to RMB 7.04, based on a PE multiple of 20-22x for 2024 [6] - Peer companies such as Chenguang Stationery and Shuhua Sports have PE ratios of 14.06x and 19.63x, respectively, for 2024 [8] Operational Efficiency and Financial Health - The company's asset turnover ratio is expected to remain stable at 1.34 in 2024 and increase to 1.50 by 2026 [10] - The company's fixed asset turnover ratio is projected to improve significantly from 25.03 in 2023 to 58.15 in 2026 [10] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio is expected to increase slightly from 62.4% in 2023 to 66.8% in 2026 [9] - The company's liquidity ratios, including the current ratio and quick ratio, are expected to remain stable, indicating healthy short-term financial health [10]