歌尔股份：歌尔微拟分拆联交所上市，助力长线高质量发展

Investment Rating - Maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company plans to spin off its subsidiary, Goertek Micro, for a Hong Kong IPO, with an initial issuance size of up to 20% of the total shares post-issuance (before over-allotment) [3] - Goertek Micro specializes in MEMS devices and microsystem modules, with a high concentration of customers, particularly in the Apple supply chain [3] - The subsidiary's revenue has been stable, with 2021-2023 revenues of 3.348 billion, 3.125 billion, and 3.015 billion yuan, respectively, and net profits of 329 million, 326 million, and 226 million yuan [3] - The spin-off is expected to enhance Goertek Micro's development in MEMS and SIP microsystem modules, benefiting both the subsidiary and the parent company [4] - The company forecasts 2024-2026 net profits of 2.389 billion, 3.398 billion, and 4.231 billion yuan, with EPS of 0.70, 0.99, and 1.24 yuan, respectively [4] Financial Performance and Projections - Revenue for 2022A, 2023A, 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E is projected at 104.894 billion, 98.574 billion, 100.121 billion, 104.980 billion, and 112.467 billion yuan, respectively [5] - Net profit growth rates for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are expected to be 119.56%, 42.23%, and 24.53%, respectively [5] - EPS for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E is projected at 0.70, 0.99, and 1.24 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 26.51x, 18.64x, and 14.96x [5] - ROE is expected to improve from 5.93% in 2022A to 11.71% in 2026E [5] Industry and Market Opportunities - The MEMS and SIP microsystem module market is poised for growth, driven by AI-enabled smart hardware and AR/VR products [4] - Goertek Micro holds a significant global market share in MEMS acoustic sensors and is well-positioned to capitalize on industry opportunities [4] - The spin-off will allow Goertek Micro to access capital market resources, improve corporate governance, and enhance international market visibility [4] Financial Metrics and Ratios - Gross margins for 2022A, 2023A, 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 11.1%, 8.9%, 11.3%, 12.1%, and 12.6%, respectively [6] - Operating profit margins for the same periods are 1.5%, 0.9%, 2.4%, 3.2%, and 3.8% [6] - Net profit margins are projected to increase from 1.7% in 2022A to 3.5% in 2026E [6] - ROIC is expected to rise from 7.2% in 2022A to 9.0% in 2026E [6]