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明阳电气:业务多点开花,盈利能力环比改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 2.473 billion yuan in H1 2024, a YoY increase of 29.94%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 246 million yuan, a YoY increase of 52.36%, exceeding expectations [1] - Multiple business lines showed rapid growth, with photovoltaic sector up 32%, wind power sector up 25%, and energy storage sector up 62% YoY [2] - Transformer products revenue reached 474 million yuan in H1 2024, more than doubling YoY [2] - Q2 2024 gross margin improved to 23.40%, up 0.33 percentage points QoQ despite rising copper prices [2] - Q2 2024 net margin reached 10.88%, up 2.20 percentage points QoQ [2] - The company has obtained international certifications (IEEE, IEC, CQC, UL, CE, DNV-GL), laying foundation for overseas expansion [2] - Forecasted net profit for 2024-2026 is 652/840/1039 million yuan, with PE ratios of 15.0/11.6/9.4x based on Sep 12, 2024 closing price [2] Financial Performance - 2024E revenue is projected at 6.421 billion yuan, with 28.1% YoY growth [3] - 2024E net profit is forecasted at 652 million yuan, with 31.0% YoY growth [3] - 2024E gross margin is expected to remain stable at 22.9% [3] - 2024E ROE is projected to improve to 14.0% [3] - 2024E EPS is estimated at 2.09 yuan [3] - 2024E operating cash flow is expected to be -589 million yuan [4] - 2024E total assets are projected to reach 8.577 billion yuan [4] - 2024E liabilities are forecasted at 3.918 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 45.7% [4] Business Development - The company has strengthened cost control and secured some material supplies in advance [2] - Indirect export business with higher margins contributed to profitability improvement [2] - The company is accelerating direct sales channel layout overseas [2] - Overseas business is expected to become a new growth driver [2]