KORRUN(300577) 广发证券·2024-09-20 01:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 25.00 CNY per share, based on a 20x PE valuation for 2024 [1][3] Core Views - The company is a leading luggage manufacturer with a strong position in the B2B segment and is expanding into the apparel OEM business, which is expected to drive future growth [1] - The B2B business, including luggage and apparel fabric manufacturing, is expected to maintain steady growth, with the apparel segment offering significant growth potential [1] - The B2C business, particularly the self-owned brand "90 Points," is expanding overseas, and the partnership with Xiaomi is expected to open new growth opportunities, especially with the launch of Xiaomi's car in 2024 [1] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 4.298 billion CNY in 2024 to 6.698 billion CNY in 2026, with a CAGR of 35.3% from 2024 to 2025 [2] - Net profit is expected to increase from 372 million CNY in 2024 to 514 million CNY in 2026, with a significant growth rate of 221.7% in 2024 [2] - EPS is forecasted to rise from 1.55 CNY in 2024 to 2.14 CNY in 2026 [2] Business Segments B2B Business - The luggage segment is expected to grow steadily, with the company increasing its market share among existing clients such as Dell, HP, and Asus [1] - The apparel and fabric segment, bolstered by the acquisition of Shanghai Jiale, is expected to become a second growth curve, with new clients like Adidas, Puma, and MUJI [1][20] - The company's global production base, particularly in Indonesia, provides cost advantages and flexibility in meeting client demands [77][80] B2C Business - The self-owned brand "90 Points" is expanding overseas and innovating in materials and functionality, while the partnership with Xiaomi is expected to drive growth, especially with the launch of Xiaomi's car in 2024 [1][10] - The domestic luggage market is highly fragmented, offering significant growth potential for the company to increase its market share [13][97] Industry Analysis - The global luggage market is expected to grow, with China's market projected to reach 25.28 billion USD by 2028, driven by increasing travel demand [97] - The apparel and fabric manufacturing industry is significantly larger than the luggage industry, providing substantial growth opportunities for the company [92] Competitive Advantages - The company has a strong client base, including leading brands like Nike, Dell, and Xiaomi, and a global production network that enhances its supply chain efficiency [76][77] - The acquisition of Shanghai Jiale has expanded the company's capabilities into the apparel and fabric manufacturing sector, offering vertical integration and cost advantages [20][92] - The company's focus on innovation and design has resulted in multiple awards, enhancing its brand recognition and product appeal [101][102]