金盘科技：干变乘势而上，储能打造第二增长曲线

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the company, marking the first coverage [1] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in dry-type transformers and is expanding into energy storage as its second growth curve [3] - The global dry-type transformer market is expected to reach $9.2 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 6.8% from 2023 to 2028 [3] - The company issued convertible bonds to expand its energy storage and digital production capacity for power transmission and distribution equipment [3] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 7.39 billion yuan, 9.435 billion yuan, and 12.289 billion yuan in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] - Net profits attributable to the parent company are projected to be 596 million yuan, 814 million yuan, and 1.118 billion yuan for the same periods [4] - The corresponding P/E ratios are 22.34x, 16.35x, and 11.90x for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4] Business Overview - The company specializes in dry-type transformers, with applications in wind power, rail transit, and energy efficiency [10] - It is one of the few companies globally capable of producing dry-type transformers for wind power applications, serving major wind turbine manufacturers like VESTAS, GE, and SIEMENS Gamesa [3] - The company has a clear equity structure, with the controlling shareholder holding 40.46% of the shares [14] Energy Storage Business - The company has a total energy storage production capacity of 3.9GWh across its Wuhan and Guilin bases [3] - It focuses on medium and high-voltage direct-hanging (cascaded) energy storage systems, which offer cost and performance advantages [3] - In 2023, the company secured new energy storage system orders worth 641 million yuan (excluding tax), a year-on-year increase of 144.87% [3] Market Opportunities - The dry-type transformer market is driven by its advantages over oil-immersed transformers, including higher safety, smaller size, and lower maintenance costs [3] - The company's dry-type transformers are widely used in wind power, rail transit, and energy efficiency sectors, with significant growth potential in these areas [25] - The global energy storage market is expected to grow rapidly, with the company well-positioned to benefit from this trend [46] Competitive Advantages - The company's dry-type transformers have higher capacity and voltage ratings compared to domestic peers, approaching the leading indicators of international competitors [26] - Its energy storage systems leverage the company's existing technology in power electronics and energy management, providing cost and performance advantages [56] - The company's high-voltage direct-hanging (cascaded) energy storage systems offer superior performance metrics, including higher efficiency and faster response times [62] Customer Base - The company's energy storage systems target customers in the power generation, grid, and industrial sectors, overlapping with its existing customer base [63] - Major clients include traditional power generation companies like China General Nuclear Power Group and State Power Investment Corporation, as well as renewable energy companies like Goldwind and Shanghai Electric [65]