Workflow
中国巨石2024年中报点评:周期底部基本确立,静待需求回暖

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2][3][12] Core Views - The industry has reached a bottom, and the company is focusing on internal improvements. The overall industry consensus indicates a recovery in profitability after a prolonged downturn. Companies are implementing capacity control measures, delaying new production line launches, and reducing production scale, leading to a gradual decline in fiberglass production growth [2] - In H1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.96 billion yuan, down 53.41% year-on-year. The company’s sales volume of roving and products increased by 23% year-on-year, totaling approximately 1.522 million tons [2] - The company maintains its leading position in the fiberglass industry, with significant increases in sales volume and improvements in product structure and technology upgrades. The company is expected to benefit from the global economic recovery [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company reported a revenue of 7.74 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.16% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.96 billion yuan, down 53.41% year-on-year. The non-recurring gains were 0.33 billion yuan, with 0.25 billion yuan from the disposal of non-current assets [2] - The company’s sales volume of electronic cloth reached 458 million meters, a year-on-year increase of 13%, with a market share of 23% [2] Industry Outlook - The fiberglass industry is experiencing a bottoming out, with production growth slowing to 2.3% in H1 2024 and total industry profits down 59.7% year-on-year. The company is expected to see price recovery in the fiberglass market starting in Q3 2024 [2] - The company is expanding its production capacity strategically, with new production lines expected to come online in mid-2024, adding 200,000 tons of roving capacity [2] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the company will have significant earnings elasticity during the industry upturn. The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders has been adjusted to 2.17 billion yuan, 2.87 billion yuan, and 3.58 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2][3]