YAPP(603013) Guotou Securities·2024-10-09 00:23Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" investment rating to the company with a 6-month target price of 17.64 CNY, which corresponds to an 18x dynamic P/E ratio for 2024 [7]. Core Insights - The company is a global leader in plastic fuel tanks for passenger vehicles, with a strong domestic market share and a growing international presence. It has successfully developed and mass-produced hybrid high-pressure fuel tanks and is expanding into new business areas such as thermal management and hydrogen storage systems [1][3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Global Leader in Plastic Fuel Tanks - The company has over 30 years of experience in the industry and ranks first in domestic market share and third globally. It has established nine overseas production bases and four engineering centers to support its global operations [1][2]. - The company is actively expanding its product offerings to include battery pack housings and thermal management systems for electric vehicles [1][4]. 2. Fuel Tank Business Growth - The traditional fuel tank business is expected to achieve steady growth through product upgrades and international expansion. The global passenger vehicle fuel tank market is projected to maintain a size of approximately 64.1 billion CNY by 2027 [2][25]. - The company has a competitive edge due to its advanced hybrid high-pressure fuel tank technology and a well-established global footprint, which allows for localized support and rapid response [2][3]. 3. Thermal Management Market Expansion - The thermal management market for electric vehicles is expected to grow significantly, with the value of thermal management components per vehicle exceeding 6,000 CNY, which is double that of traditional vehicles. The domestic thermal management market is projected to reach 142 billion CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of 8.4% from 2023 to 2027 [3][4]. - The company is developing new thermal management products and has already secured project approvals for integrated modules, with mass production expected in 2024 [3]. 4. Hydrogen Storage Systems - The hydrogen vehicle market is anticipated to grow rapidly, with the demand for hydrogen storage tanks expected to reach approximately 320,000 units by 2026 and 2.24 million units by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of over 50% from 2022 to 2030 [4][6]. - The company has established partnerships with major commercial vehicle manufacturers and is in the process of certifying key components for its hydrogen storage systems [4][6]. 5. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company has shown stable revenue growth, with projected revenues of 87.2 billion CNY in 2024, 94.8 billion CNY in 2025, and 101.2 billion CNY in 2026, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.6%, 8.7%, and 6.8% respectively [7][20]. - The net profit is expected to be 5.0 billion CNY in 2024, 5.2 billion CNY in 2025, and 5.8 billion CNY in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 7.3%, 4.4%, and 10.2% [7][20].