Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5][8]. Core Views - The company is a leading clean energy enterprise in North China, driven by both wind power and natural gas, with a strong cash flow supporting steady asset growth [3][10]. - The company achieved revenue of CNY 20.282 billion and a net profit of CNY 2.207 billion in 2023, with wind and solar contributing approximately two-thirds of net profit and natural gas contributing about 26% [3][18]. - The report highlights the company's strong cash flow generation capabilities, with operating cash flow at CNY 4.852 billion, which is 1.77 times the net profit, indicating a robust cash creation ability [4][23]. Summary by Sections 1. Wind and Natural Gas Dual-Drive - The company has established a dual-drive business structure focusing on wind and natural gas, with significant growth in installed capacity [16][17]. - As of the end of 2023, the company had a wind power installed capacity of 6,293.75 MW and solar capacity of 126.12 MW, with a compound annual growth rate of 16.5% since 2010 [18][32]. 2. Wind Power: Superior Asset Quality - The company benefits from high-quality wind resources, with an average utilization hour of 2,419 hours in 2023, outperforming the national average [32][34]. - The report notes that the company's wind power and solar segments have a net profit compound annual growth rate of 17.8% from 2010 to 2023 [32][38]. 3. Natural Gas: LNG Supports Sales Growth - The company has diversified its natural gas operations, enhancing its sales structure and profitability through the Tangshan LNG project [3][10]. - In 2023, the company achieved a gas sales volume of 4.503 billion cubic meters, with revenue from natural gas sales reaching CNY 14.027 billion [18][30]. 4. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits of CNY 2.38 billion, CNY 3.07 billion, and CNY 3.41 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with growth rates of 7.8%, 29.0%, and 11.1% [5][8]. - The intrinsic value of the company is estimated at approximately HKD 27.4 billion, indicating a potential upside of about 49% from the current market value [5][8]. 5. Cash Flow Generation - The company demonstrates strong cash flow generation, with a net cash creation ability of approximately CNY 4.75 billion in 2023, covering 77% of its capital expenditures [4][23]. - The report emphasizes that the high depreciation and amortization costs primarily from wind power operations do not reflect the true cash generation capacity of the company [4][25].
新天绿色能源：风电+天然气双轮驱动 优质现金流助力资产规模稳增