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无锡振华:24Q3业绩预计稳健增长,规模效应推升盈利能力

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price indicating a potential upside of over 20% within the next six months [5][14]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in Q3 2024, driven by scale effects enhancing profitability. The forecasted net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 is between 237 million to 250 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 42.23% to 50.04% [2][3]. - The company is actively engaging in both traditional energy and new energy vehicle components, with significant sales growth from clients such as Tesla and Li Auto. The sales from new energy vehicles accounted for 30% of total sales in 2023, projected to exceed 50% in 2024 [1][2]. - The expansion of the Langfang factory aims to enhance production capacity and customer engagement, with an investment of 600 million yuan for the second phase of the project [3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company reported a revenue of 2,316.98 million yuan in 2023, with a growth rate of 32.65%. The projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 2,853.78 million yuan, 3,469.91 million yuan, and 4,207.88 million yuan, respectively [4][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 277.24 million yuan in 2023 to 373.65 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 34.78% [4][10]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 1.11 yuan in 2023 to 1.49 yuan in 2024 [4][10]. Valuation Metrics - The current market capitalization is approximately 4,726.60 million yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.05 for 2023, expected to decrease to 12.65 by 2024 [5][10]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decline from 2.16 in 2023 to 1.93 in 2024, indicating a potential increase in shareholder value [4][10].