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华虹半导体:深度报告:特色工艺中军,功率半导之基

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Recommend" rating for the company, considering its leading position in the domestic wafer foundry industry and the gradual recovery of downstream demand [1][4] Core Views - The company adheres to the "Specialty IC + Power Devices" strategy, focusing on the development of specialty process technologies, serving markets such as consumer electronics, communications, computers, industrial, and automotive [1] - With the gradual recovery of consumer electronics demand, the semiconductor industry cycle is expected to reach an inflection point, and the company's capacity utilization rate has improved significantly [1] - The company's gross margin is expected to continue to recover, driven by price increases and the full production of its Wuxi facility [1] - The domestic wafer foundry market is accelerating, with the localization of wafer manufacturing becoming a priority due to supply chain security concerns [1] - The company is a global leader in specialty process wafer foundry, with a comprehensive coverage of specialty process platforms and a focus on mature nodes [1] Company Overview - The company is a global leader in specialty process wafer foundry, offering a wide range of process platforms including embedded/non-volatile memory, power devices, analog and power management, and logic and RF [1][6] - The company has 3 8-inch and 1 12-inch wafer fabs, with another 12-inch fab under construction, and plans to invest 2billionannuallyinequipmentfrom2024to2026[1]ThecompanysrevenueinH12024was2 billion annually in equipment from 2024 to 2026 [1] - The company's revenue in H1 2024 was 939 million, a YoY decrease of 25.7%, with a net profit of 38million,aYoYdecreaseof83.338 million, a YoY decrease of 83.3% [1] - The company's capacity utilization rate in Q2 2024 was 97.9%, a QoQ increase of 6.2 percentage points [1] Industry Trends - The global pure-play wafer foundry market has grown significantly, with the Chinese market expanding from RMB 39.1 billion in 2018 to RMB 77.1 billion in 2022, with a CAGR of 8.5% [1] - The proportion of mature process capacity in China is expected to increase from 29% in 2022 to 33% in 2027, driven by policy support and subsidies [1][28] - The power device market is booming, with global market size expected to grow from 17.5 billion in 2020 to 26.2billionin2026,withaCAGRof6.9626.2 billion in 2026, with a CAGR of 6.96% [30] - The MCU market in China is growing faster than the global market, with a CAGR of 8.29% from 2015 to 2020, compared to the global CAGR of 5.34% [37] Financial Projections - The company's revenue is expected to be 2.254 billion, 2.556billion,and2.556 billion, and 3.098 billion in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profits of 102million,102 million, 195 million, and $302 million [1][2] - The corresponding PE ratios are 52x, 27x, and 17x, and PB ratios are 0.8x, 0.8x, and 0.8x for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [1][2] Strategic Focus - The company is focusing on mature nodes, with its 8-inch fabs covering nodes from 0.35µm to 90nm, and its 12-inch fabs covering nodes from 90nm to 55nm [1][50] - The company is expanding its 12-inch capacity, with the Wuxi fab expected to reach full production capacity of 94,500 wafers per month by the end of 2023 [19] - The company is also building a new 12-inch fab, which is expected to start production by the end of 2024, with a planned capacity of 83,000 wafers per month [19] Competitive Advantages - The company has a comprehensive coverage of specialty process platforms, including embedded/non-volatile memory, power devices, analog and power management, and logic and RF [1][6] - The company has a strong R&D capability, with 1,285 R&D personnel, accounting for 18.72% of the total workforce, and has accumulated 8,969 patents [23] - The company has a stable customer base, with 92.3% of its revenue coming from system companies and fabless design companies in 2023 [8]