Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong growth in ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) laser radar shipments, with a year-on-year increase of 150% in Q3 2024, indicating robust demand and successful cost reduction strategies [2] - The company's robot and other laser radar shipments have also increased significantly, with a projected Q4 shipment nearing 16,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 357% [3] - Revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 are set at 22.2 billion, 35.6 billion, and 51.0 billion RMB respectively, with net profits expected to improve from a loss of 5.3 billion RMB in 2024 to a profit of 1.3 billion RMB in 2026 [3] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2022 was 530.32 million RMB, with projections of 1,120.15 million RMB for 2023, 2,222.56 million RMB for 2024, 3,559.19 million RMB for 2025, and 5,096.47 million RMB for 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [1] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 132.57 million RMB by 2026, after losses in the preceding years [1] Shipment Data - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company shipped a total of 38.2 thousand laser radars, with ADAS laser radar shipments at 36.6 thousand and robots at 1.6 thousand, showing year-on-year increases of 364%, 395%, and 129% respectively [1] - Q3 2024 saw laser radar product shipments of 138.6 thousand units, a year-on-year increase of 140% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [1] Financial Ratios - The report outlines key financial ratios, including a projected EPS of -1.17 RMB for 2024, improving to 0.29 RMB by 2026 [11] - The company's gross margin is expected to rise from 8.36% in 2023 to 23.78% in 2026, indicating improved profitability [11]
速腾聚创：24Q1-Q3出货数据点评：ADAS后劲十足，机器人放量开启