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新秀丽:旅行箱包龙头,全球化布局持续成长
01910SAMSONITE(01910) 国泰君安·2024-10-14 16:08

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [3][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading player in the travel luggage industry, with a strong brand portfolio including Samsonite, Tumi, and American Tourister. It is expected to achieve steady growth through global expansion and improved operational efficiency [3][9]. - Projected net profits for 2024-2026 are estimated at 422million,422 million, 457 million, and 497millionrespectively,withcorrespondingpricetoearnings(PE)ratiosof9,9,and8times[3][9].ThegloballuggagemarketisprojectedtogrowataCAGRof7497 million respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9, 9, and 8 times [3][9]. - The global luggage market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7% over the next five years, with the company benefiting from multi-brand synergy and an expected increase in market share [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Points and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge through high-quality brand assets and efficient channel operations. The main brand, Samsonite, offers a diverse range of products from mid-range to high-end, while Tumi focuses on the premium business segment [3][9]. - Revenue and net profit from the company's main brands showed significant growth in 2023, with increases of 28%, 34%, and 26% respectively [3][9]. 2. Company Overview: Global Renowned Luggage Brand - Established in 1910, the company is recognized as the largest luggage manufacturer globally, with a diverse brand portfolio that includes Samsonite, Tumi, and American Tourister [14][18]. 3. Industry: Rapid Growth in Luggage Consumption - The global luggage market has shown steady growth, increasing from 119.2 billion in 2011 to $161.1 billion in 2023, with a CAGR of approximately 3% [25]. - The domestic luggage market in China is also expanding, driven by rising disposable income and increasing travel demand, with a projected market size exceeding 300 billion yuan [27][31]. 4. Competitive Advantages: Quality Brand Assets and Channel Expansion - The company has a well-established brand matrix that covers various market segments, enhancing its competitive position [14][15]. - The direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenue share is expected to rise to nearly 40%, reflecting the company's commitment to enhancing operational efficiency [3][9]. 5. Future Outlook: Continued Global Expansion - The company plans to deepen its presence in high-potential emerging markets, particularly in Latin America, while maintaining stable performance in Europe and North America [10][11].