CHINA STATE CON(03311)2024-10-18 11:40Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a current price of HKD 12.28 and a fair value of HKD 14.38 [1]. Core Views - The Hong Kong government has proposed further planning for the Northern Metropolis construction, which is expected to supply approximately 60,000 housing units over the next five years, reducing the waiting time to four and a half years [1]. - The Northern Metropolis development is anticipated to accelerate the company's business growth in Hong Kong, with a significant increase in new orders and revenue [1]. - The expected growth from the Northern Metropolis and the "Ten-Year Hospital Development Plan" is projected to drive the growth of the Hong Kong construction market [1]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The report highlights the company's leading position in the Hong Kong and Macau infrastructure sector, emphasizing its role in high-quality development through technology and investment [1]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2023 is projected to be HKD 113,742 million, with a growth rate of 11.36% [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach HKD 9,164 million in 2023, reflecting a growth rate of 15.17% [4]. - The EBITDA for 2023 is forecasted at HKD 15,863 million, with a growth rate of 12.92% [4]. Profitability and Valuation - The report projects the company's net profit for 2024 to be HKD 10,348 million, with a corresponding PE ratio of 5.98 [6]. - The expected EPS for 2024 is HKD 2.05, indicating a positive trend in earnings per share [6]. - The report maintains a fair value estimate of HKD 14.38 per share, supporting the "Buy" rating [1]. Market Outlook - The construction market in Hong Kong is expected to grow significantly due to government initiatives and infrastructure projects, which will benefit the company [1]. - The report notes that the company's business in Hong Kong has begun to accelerate, with a positive outlook for sustained growth [1].