V-Test(688372) Great Wall Securities·2024-10-23 02:12Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Buy" for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index within the next six months [11]. Core Views - The company's profitability has significantly recovered in Q3 2024, with a notable increase in the proportion of high-end testing services, which provides long-term growth momentum [2][4]. - The demand for high-end testing has increased due to the recovery in the semiconductor industry, particularly for high-performance chips such as CPUs, GPUs, and AI chips [2][4]. - The company is expanding its high-end testing capacity and increasing R&D investment to address the challenges in testing high-end chips, positioning itself as a key supplier in the domestic market [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for Q3 2024 reached 310 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 26.03% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 42.45%, up 3.08 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 16.48%, up 7.21 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The company reported a net profit of 51 million yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 171.09% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 358.34% [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 1.07 billion yuan for 2024, 1.3 billion yuan for 2025, and 1.59 billion yuan for 2026, with corresponding net profits of 130 million yuan, 235 million yuan, and 295 million yuan respectively [1][4]. - The expected EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 1.14 yuan, 2.07 yuan, and 2.59 yuan respectively [4][6]. Market Outlook - The integrated circuit testing market in mainland China is expected to continue growing at a double-digit rate, reaching 74 billion yuan by 2027 [4]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the high demand for high-end testing services and the ongoing domestic substitution process in the semiconductor industry [4].