HUAMING(002270) 海通证券·2024-10-23 03:09Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Huaming Equipment (002270) [2] Core Views - Huaming Equipment achieved steady growth in the first three quarters of 2024, benefiting from both domestic and international demand [5] - The company's revenue increased by 16.78% YoY to RMB 16.99 billion, while net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 7.52% YoY to RMB 494 million [5] - The company's gross margin declined by 4.58 percentage points YoY to 49.89% in the first three quarters of 2024 [5] - The company's operating expense ratio decreased by 2.68 percentage points YoY to 15.80% in the first three quarters of 2024 [5] - In Q3 2024, revenue increased by 5.99% YoY to RMB 578 million, and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 3.99% YoY to RMB 179 million [5] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is expected to grow from RMB 19.61 billion in 2023 to RMB 31.04 billion in 2026, with a CAGR of 15.5% [7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to increase from RMB 542 million in 2023 to RMB 898 million in 2026 [7] - The company's gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 50% from 2024 to 2026 [7] - The company's ROE is forecasted to increase from 16.2% in 2023 to 18.4% in 2026 [7] Industry and Market Position - Huaming Equipment is a leading domestic manufacturer of transformer tap changers, ranking first in China and second globally [6][8] - The company has a strong competitive position in the domestic market for products below 500kV and is expanding its presence in high-end domestic and international markets [8] - The global power grid construction acceleration and increased demand for power equipment are expected to benefit the company [8] Valuation and Target Price - The report forecasts EPS of RMB 0.69, RMB 0.83, and RMB 1.00 for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [8] - Based on a PE multiple of 25-30X for 2024, the target price range is RMB 17.25-20.7 [8] Financial Ratios and Efficiency - The company's asset turnover ratio is expected to improve from 0.44 in 2023 to 0.53 in 2026 [12] - The current ratio is projected to remain strong, ranging from 3.42 to 4.34 from 2024 to 2026 [13] - The company's inventory turnover days are expected to remain stable at 129 days from 2024 to 2026 [13]