CHINA PET FOODS(SZ:002891) Huaxin Securities·2024-10-24 01:00Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 17.6% year-on-year, reaching 3.189 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 282 million yuan, reflecting a 59.5% increase [1]. - The overseas business has shown rapid growth, particularly in the European market, contributing to the overall revenue surge [1]. - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory due to the expanding global pet food market and increasing domestic pet penetration rates [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3, the company achieved a revenue of 1.232 billion yuan, up 23.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of 140 million yuan, which is a 73.2% increase [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 26.9%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to fluctuations in exchange rates and raw material costs [1]. - The company anticipates a recovery in gross margins as raw material costs normalize and domestic production scales improve [1]. Employee Incentives - The company announced an employee stock ownership plan on September 5, 2024, aiming to enhance employee motivation and retention, with a plan size not exceeding 4.4639 million shares [1]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.445 billion yuan, 5.140 billion yuan, and 5.952 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.10 yuan, 1.24 yuan, and 1.50 yuan [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 27.1, 24.0, and 20.0 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [3].