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明月镜片2024年三季报点评:Q3经营稳健,控费贡献盈利改善

Investment Rating - Maintains "Overweight" rating with a target price of 31.94 yuan [3] Core Views - Strong channel control and brand power support stable pricing and highlight operational resilience [3] - New customer and product collaborations are promising [2] - Performance meets expectations with 2024-2026 EPS forecasted at 0.90/1.16/1.41 yuan [3] - 2024 PE ratio set at 35.5x, reflecting brand momentum and channel advantages [3] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 revenue for lens business reached 167 million yuan, up 3.9% YoY excluding exports [3] - PMC Ultra-Bright series revenue increased by 50.62% YoY in the first three quarters [3] - Easy Control product revenue grew by 2.4% YoY in Q3 2024, with a 34.2% increase excluding recall impact [3] - Gross profit margin and net profit margin for Q3 2024 were 59.1% and 26.7%, respectively [3] - Sales/management/R&D/financial expense ratios improved YoY, with sales expense ratio down 4.4 pct [3] Product and Market Strategy - Focus on large-item strategy with significant results from PMC Ultra-Bright and 1.71 series [3] - Expansion into medical channels with over 700 ophthalmology institutions covered [3] - Strengthened offline retail channels through targeted brand marketing and customer service [3] - New product launches and Leica collaboration expected to drive growth, with 30-40 authorized stores by end of 2024 [3] Financial Forecasts - 2024-2026 revenue forecasted at 767/908/1,090 million yuan, with YoY growth of 2.5%/18.3%/20.1% [4] - Net profit (attributable to parent) expected to be 181/234/284 million yuan, with YoY growth of 15.1%/29.2%/21.2% [4] - ROE projected to increase from 10.8% in 2024 to 13.9% in 2026 [4] Valuation and Market Data - Current PE ratio (2024E) at 29.65x, with PB ratio at 3.19x [4] - 52-week stock price range: 20.18-41.86 yuan [5] - Market cap and share structure data not provided [5]