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劲仔食品:2024年三季报点评报告:营收增速环比趋缓,净利润延续高增

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 642 million yuan in Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.94%, while the net profit reached 71 million yuan, up 42.58% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 1.772 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.65%, and a net profit of 215 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 61.20% [1] - The report highlights that the revenue growth rate has slowed down in Q3 2024 compared to Q2 2024, but the net profit continues to show high growth due to lower raw material costs and improved profitability [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - Q3 2024 revenue growth slowed to 12.94% from 20.90% in Q2 2024, while the net profit growth accelerated to 77.83% from 64.28% in Q2 2024 [1] - The gross margin and net margin for Q3 2024 were 30.06% and 11.17%, respectively, both showing year-on-year increases of 3.26 percentage points and 2.17 percentage points [1] - The company maintains a stable expense structure with sales, management, financial, and R&D expense ratios of 12.24%, 3.40%, -0.28%, and 1.99%, respectively [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 2.540 billion yuan, 3.132 billion yuan, and 3.871 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.00%, 23.28%, and 23.61% [2] - The forecasted net profits for the same years are 303 million yuan, 384 million yuan, and 487 million yuan, with growth rates of 44.71%, 26.50%, and 26.90% [2] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 18.8X, 14.8X, and 11.7X, respectively, indicating a favorable outlook compared to peer companies [2][3]