TFC(300394) 中泰证券·2024-10-28 10:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 performance was impacted by foreign exchange losses, but there is anticipation for new production capacity to be released and progress on the 1.6T project [1] - The company achieved significant revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 98.55% to 2.395 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 122.39% to 976 million yuan [1] - The report highlights the company's strong market position in optical devices and solutions, with ongoing R&D projects aimed at enhancing its competitive edge [1][2] Financial Summary - Revenue Forecast: - 2022A: 1,196 million yuan - 2023A: 1,939 million yuan (growth rate: 62%) - 2024E: 3,844 million yuan (growth rate: 98%) - 2025E: 6,238 million yuan (growth rate: 62%) - 2026E: 8,874 million yuan (growth rate: 42%) [1][2] - Net Profit Forecast: - 2022A: 403 million yuan - 2023A: 730 million yuan (growth rate: 81%) - 2024E: 1,503 million yuan (growth rate: 106%) - 2025E: 2,236 million yuan (growth rate: 49%) - 2026E: 3,246 million yuan (growth rate: 45%) [1][2] - Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecast: - 2022A: 0.73 yuan - 2023A: 1.32 yuan - 2024E: 2.71 yuan - 2025E: 4.04 yuan - 2026E: 5.86 yuan [1][2] - Key Financial Ratios: - Return on Equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 15% in 2022A to 32% in 2026E [1] - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 182.7 in 2022A to 15.6 in 2026E [1] Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leader in the optical device market, focusing on high-speed optical modules and related products [1] - Ongoing R&D efforts are aimed at developing next-generation optical components and enhancing production capabilities, particularly in international markets [1][2]