XMGF(SZ:300770) Wanlian Securities·2024-10-28 11:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported steady revenue growth, with a total revenue of 1.174 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2023, representing a year-over-year increase of 5.94%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14.38% to 428 million yuan due to changes in tax rates [1] - The IPTV business has shown significant growth, with basic business revenue reaching 418.59 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 13.32%, and effective users reaching 20.29 million, up 2.42% year-over-year [2] - The company has effectively controlled expenses, maintaining stable expense ratios, with a sales expense ratio of 2.21%, management expense ratio of 3.17%, and R&D expense ratio of 3.17% [1] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for operating revenue from 2024 to 2026 is adjusted to 1.611 billion yuan, 1.699 billion yuan, and 1.791 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 644 million yuan, 676 million yuan, and 712 million yuan [6][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.81 yuan, 2.95 yuan, and 3.11 yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [6][7] Business Operations - The company is enhancing member benefits and viewing experiences, strengthening monetization capabilities through various product operations, including esports, karaoke, and short video products [5] - As of June 2024, the overall business revenue reached 111.22 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 19.61%, with effective users of cloud viewing apps at 248 million [5]