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陕西能源:Q3经营业绩符合预期,煤电一体进程再进一步

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shaanxi Energy is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that Shaanxi Energy has shown strong operational performance in Q3 2024, with a revenue of 16.835 billion yuan, representing an 18.60% year-on-year increase, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.497 billion yuan, up 13.77% year-on-year [1] - The coal segment is stable, with production and sales expected to grow, while the electricity segment benefits from the commissioning of the Qing Shui Chuan Phase III power plant, enhancing the company's coal-electricity integration strategy [1][2] - The company is projected to maintain a strong growth trajectory, with net profits forecasted at 3.005 billion yuan, 3.481 billion yuan, and 4.022 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1-3 2024, Shaanxi Energy achieved a total operating income of 16.835 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.60%, and a net profit of 2.497 billion yuan, up 13.77% [1] - The operating cash flow for the same period was 6.458 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.85% increase year-on-year [1] - The company reported a basic earnings per share (EPS) of 0.67 yuan, a 4.69% increase year-on-year [1] Coal Segment - The coal production for Q1-3 2024 reached 17.634 million tons, a 2.36% increase year-on-year, with external sales of self-produced coal at 5.6685 million tons, a significant 46.15% increase year-on-year [1] - The company has successfully launched new production capacities, including the 2 million tons/year Yanzigou East Wing and the commissioning of the 200 MW coal-electricity project in July [1] Electricity Segment - The electricity segment saw a substantial increase in output, with total electricity sales reaching 36.916 billion kWh in Q1-3 2024, a 20.38% increase year-on-year [1] - The commissioning of the Qing Shui Chuan Phase III power plant in July is expected to maintain high utilization hours for power generation [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue expanding its coal and electricity production capacities, with several projects in the pipeline, including the Zhao Shipan coal mine and the Shangluo Phase II power plant, both projected to be operational by 2026 [1][2] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the company's coal-electricity integration strategy, which is anticipated to enhance overall profitability [2]