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神州细胞:八因子再创营利双增,RSV等多项研发蓄势中

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][11]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 19.37 billion RMB in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.44%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.50 billion RMB, with a non-recurring net profit of 4.62 billion RMB, marking a significant turnaround from losses in the same period of 2023 [2][3]. - The company is expected to achieve its first annual profit, driven by the increased market share of its product Anjain® and continued innovation in its product offerings [3]. - The company has a robust pipeline with multiple products approved and ongoing clinical trials, including an RSV vaccine recently approved for clinical use [3][4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue forecast for the company is set at 27 billion RMB for 2024, 36 billion RMB for 2025, and 45 billion RMB for 2026. However, the net profit estimates have been revised downwards to 2.1 billion RMB, 4.2 billion RMB, and 7.3 billion RMB for the respective years [4][7]. R&D Investment - The company invested 2.12 billion RMB in R&D in Q3 2024, totaling 6.72 billion RMB for the first three quarters, which is 34.68% of its revenue [3]. Market Position and Product Development - The company has successfully developed multiple antibody products with stringent DNA residue quality standards, significantly outperforming similar foreign products [3]. - The company has a total of four products approved, with three vaccine varieties included in emergency use by the government, and is actively pursuing additional clinical trials for new products [3]. Financial Metrics - The company reported a diluted earnings per share of 0.473 RMB for 2024, with projections of 0.953 RMB for 2025 and 1.643 RMB for 2026 [7]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 50.78% for 2025 and 46.68% for 2026, indicating strong profitability potential [7]. Stock Performance - The current market price of the company's stock is 40.79 RMB, with a historical trend showing consistent "Buy" ratings from analysts [5][11].