Lepu Medical(300003) 中泰证券·2024-10-29 07:01Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's short-term performance is impacted by business adjustments and channel inventory, but multiple new drug and medical device products are expected to drive growth [1] - The company reported a revenue of 4.785 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decline of 40.70%, with net profit attributable to the parent company decreasing by 73.12% [1] - The company is undergoing structural adjustments, leading to increased expenses in the short term, while inventory clearance in the pharmaceutical sector is nearing completion, which may improve performance in the fourth quarter [1][2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (Million Yuan): - 2022A: 10,609 - 2023A: 7,980 - 2024E: 6,407 - 2025E: 7,175 - 2026E: 8,059 [1] - Net Profit (Million Yuan): - 2022A: 2,203 - 2023A: 1,258 - 2024E: 915 - 2025E: 1,026 - 2026E: 1,154 [1] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2022A: 0.67 - 2023A: 0.53 - 2024E: 0.49 - 2025E: 0.55 - 2026E: 0.61 [1] - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2022A: 13% - 2023A: 7% - 2024E: 5% - 2025E: 5% - 2026E: 6% [1] - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: - 2022A: 10.7 - 2023A: 18.8 - 2024E: 25.9 - 2025E: 23.1 - 2026E: 20.5 [1] - Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: - 2022A: 1.6 - 2023A: 1.5 - 2024E: 1.4 - 2025E: 1.4 - 2026E: 1.3 [1] Business Outlook - The cardiovascular intervention business maintains good growth momentum, with new products expected to become new growth points for performance [1] - The company has several innovative products in the pipeline, including a drug-eluting balloon and various absorbable devices, which are anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [1][2] - The company is expected to see improved performance in the pharmaceutical sector as inventory clearance nears completion and new products are introduced [1][2]