宋城演艺：公司季报点评：3Q24收入同比下滑5%，培育项目表现出色

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 20.13 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.08 billion yuan, up 28.0% year-on-year [6] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 8.36 billion yuan, a decline of 4.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.57 billion yuan, down 5.6% year-on-year [6] - The company has shown strong performance in its cultivation projects, particularly in Xi'an and Foshan, while mature projects have maintained good revenue despite facing challenges [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is expected to achieve a net profit of 10.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1083.3% [8] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.41 yuan, 0.48 yuan, and 0.52 yuan respectively [8] - The company's gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 71.9%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 19.26 billion yuan in 2023 to 23.99 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 24.6% [9] - The net profit is expected to rise significantly from a loss of 110 million yuan in 2023 to a profit of 1.08 billion yuan in 2024 [9] Cost and Expense Analysis - The selling, general, and administrative expenses have increased, with the selling expense ratio at 5.4%, management expense ratio at 5.0%, and R&D expense ratio at 1.3% for Q3 2024 [7] - The increase in selling expenses is attributed to higher advertising investments across various scenic spots [7] Market Position and Valuation - The company is considered one of the few listed firms in the industry with replicable expansion capabilities, with a target price range of 10.25 yuan to 12.30 yuan per share based on a PE ratio of 25-30 times for 2024 [8]