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北京人力:公司季报点评:3Q24净利增52%,北京外企业绩承诺完成率高

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Beijing Renli (600861) is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Beijing Renli achieved a revenue of 33.179 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 641 million yuan, a significant increase of 84.8% year-on-year [4] - The report emphasizes the company's strong performance in the third quarter of 2024, with revenue of 11.313 billion yuan, up 18.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 207 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 52.3% [4] - The report also notes that the company is strengthening its group management platform and optimizing its governance structure through internal restructuring [6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the gross profit margin was 5.7%, a decrease of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 1.9%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The company’s major asset restructuring has resulted in the Beijing Foreign Enterprise Human Resources Service Co., Ltd. exceeding its profit commitment with a completion rate of 109.7% [5] - The forecast for net profit for 2024-2026 is 835 million, 923 million, and 1.011 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 52.4%, 10.5%, and 9.6% [6][9] Valuation and Market Comparison - The report assigns a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15-18 times for 2024, suggesting a reasonable value range of 22.20 to 26.64 yuan per share [6] - The report compares the P/E ratios of similar companies, with Beijing Renli at 17.98 times for 2024 [8]