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明阳电气:下游持续扩容驱动增长,超募资金加码产能建设

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company has shown robust growth driven by the continuous expansion of downstream wind and solar storage, with a revenue increase of 23.5% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2024 [3][4] - The company is increasing its production capacity significantly, with a total investment in the "Mingyang Modern Energy High-end Equipment Technology Park Project" rising from 220 million to 1 billion RMB [2][4] - The company is expanding its product matrix and enhancing its competitive advantage, with expectations of revenue growth of 30% in 2024 and net profit growth of 33% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.09 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 23.5%, and a net profit of 440 million RMB, up 37.6% [2][3] - The third quarter alone saw revenues of 1.62 billion RMB, growing 14.9% year-on-year, and a net profit of 190 million RMB, increasing by 21.2% [2] Market Position - The company leads the market share in domestic box-type substations and has a presence in over 40 countries, including Southeast Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and North America [4] - The comprehensive gross margin for the first three quarters was 23.0%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 10.7%, up 1 percentage point [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 6.42 billion, 8.27 billion, and 10.79 billion RMB, with expected growth rates of 30%, 29%, and 30% respectively [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 660 million, 870 million, and 1.13 billion RMB, with growth rates of 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively [4]