DAHAO TECHNOLOGY(603025) 西南证券·2024-10-30 08:00Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.00 CNY over the next six months [1][31]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.91 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.6%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 490 million CNY, up 68.9% year-on-year. The third quarter alone saw revenues of 600 million CNY, a 27.0% increase, and a net profit of 170 million CNY, growing 55.8% year-on-year [1][19]. - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 42.6%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved to 27.2%, up 5.3 percentage points. This improvement is attributed to better cost control and an increase in high-margin products [1][19][20]. - The macroeconomic recovery and demand replenishment in the textile and apparel industry have positively impacted the company's performance, as it is a leading player in the sewing equipment sector [3][19]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has over 30 years of experience in the industry, specializing in the development and production of industrial control systems for sewing and knitting machinery. It has expanded its business into financial services and cybersecurity solutions, establishing a strong market presence both domestically and internationally [10][19]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 2.03 billion CNY in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.0% from 2015 to 2023. The revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 indicates a strong recovery, driven by the demand in the sewing machinery sector [19][28]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024-2026 is 660 million CNY, 850 million CNY, and 1.04 billion CNY, respectively, with a projected CAGR of 36.7% [28][30]. Market Dynamics - The global trade in goods has shown steady recovery, with the sewing machinery sector benefiting from increased exports and demand. The company is positioned to capitalize on this trend due to its leading market position [3][19]. - The report highlights that the company’s core business, the sewing machine control systems, accounted for 52.0% of total revenue in 2023, with a gross margin of 47.6% [11][19]. Cost Management - The company has effectively reduced its expense ratio to 14.1% in the first three quarters of 2024, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved operational efficiency [2][20].