HAI TIAN(603288) 国元证券·2024-10-30 08:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 20.399 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.38%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.815 billion yuan, up 11.23% year-on-year [2]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to steady performance across various product lines and a significant increase in online sales channels, which grew by 34.53% year-on-year [2]. - The company has seen a continuous increase in the number of distributors, indicating robust market expansion [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, total revenue reached 6.243 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.83% year-on-year growth, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.362 billion yuan, up 10.50% year-on-year [2]. - The revenue from soy sauce, seasoning sauce, oyster sauce, and other products for the first three quarters was 10.338 billion, 2.034 billion, 3.427 billion, and 3.166 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.40%, 9.01%, 6.38%, and 19.88% [2]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 36.78%, an increase of 1.29 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a decrease in raw material costs [2]. Future Earnings Estimates - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 6.235 billion, 6.887 billion, and 7.589 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.81%, 10.46%, and 10.20% [2][3]. - The corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for these years are projected to be 40, 36, and 33 times [2]. Market Position and Valuation - The company's market capitalization is approximately 250.2 billion yuan [4]. - The report highlights a steady increase in both offline and online sales channels, with online sales growing significantly faster than offline sales [2]. Key Financial Ratios - The return on equity (ROE) for 2024 is projected to be 19.89%, with a gradual increase expected in subsequent years [7]. - The company's debt-to-equity ratio is expected to remain stable, indicating a solid financial position [7].