Songcheng Performance(300144) 国泰君安·2024-10-30 15:09Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The company's revenue slightly missed expectations, while profits met expectations. There is a recovery in core performances in October, with a focus on the recovery and progress of the travel agency industry in the long term [1][3] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 458 million, projected to increase to 1,926 million in 2023, and further to 2,423 million in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 320.8% year-on-year [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company was -48 million in 2022, expected to reach -110 million in 2023, and projected to turn positive at 1,053 million in 2024, indicating a significant recovery [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be -0.02 in 2022, -0.04 in 2023, and is expected to rise to 0.40 in 2024 [2] - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from -0.6% in 2022 to 13.2% in 2024 [2] Performance Insights - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.46%, with a gross profit of 1.4 billion, up 25.18% [3] - The core performances in October showed a recovery to 80% of 2019 levels and 115% of 2023 levels, indicating a significant improvement compared to previous months [3] - The company is focusing on the recovery of the travel agency industry and the profitability of key projects in the future [3] Target Price - The target price has been adjusted to 11.52 yuan, reflecting a 9% increase from previous estimates [3][4]