SHUANGHUI(000895) 国元证券·2024-10-31 00:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [2][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 44.112 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a decrease of 4.82% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.804 billion yuan, down 12.08% [2]. - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 16.440 billion yuan, an increase of 3.90% quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit of 1.508 billion yuan, up 1.18% [2]. - The total sales volume of meat products in Q3 2024 showed a positive growth of 0.57% year-on-year, while the total external sales volume for the first three quarters was 2.3488 million tons, down 4.93% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s fresh products business saw a revenue of 8.501 billion yuan in Q3 2024, reversing a decline of 16.14% in the first half of the year to a growth of 5.04% [2]. - The unit profit for the meat products business reached a historical high, with a revenue of 6.828 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a decrease of 4.01% year-on-year, but an operating profit of 1.889 billion yuan, an increase of 7.89% [2]. - The company’s gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 18.23%, an increase of 0.55 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 8.62%, a decrease of 0.71 percentage points [2]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 4.802 billion yuan, 5.044 billion yuan, and 5.241 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.97%, 5.05%, and 3.91% [3]. - The company’s revenue for 2024 is estimated at 58.306 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 2.98% [4]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 18, 17, and 16 times, respectively [3].