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天味食品:费率显著下降,利润超预期

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Tianwei Foods, with projected net profits for 2024-2026 expected to be 6.23 billion, 6.94 billion, and 7.54 billion respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.58, 0.65, and 0.71 [5][7][10]. Core Views - Tianwei Foods achieved a revenue of 2.364 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.84%, and a net profit of 432 million yuan, up 34.96% year-on-year, indicating better-than-expected performance [1][2]. - The company has seen significant growth in its Chinese-style seasoning and sausage products, with revenue from hot pot seasonings, Chinese-style seasonings, and sausage seasonings for the first nine months being 794 million, 1.272 billion, and 219 million yuan respectively [1]. - The online channel revenue increased by 68.98% year-on-year, driven by the acquisition of Shicui, which has enhanced the company's online capabilities [2][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, Tianwei Foods reported revenue of 897 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.93%, and a net profit of 186 million yuan, up 64.79% year-on-year [1]. - The gross profit margin for the first nine months was 39.28%, an increase of 2.39 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a decrease in commodity prices and improved product mix [2][5]. Product Categories - Revenue from hot pot seasonings decreased by 6.15%, while Chinese-style seasonings and sausage seasonings saw increases of 13.50% and 19.95% respectively [1]. - New product launches in the first half of the year contributed to a recovery in revenue growth during the peak season [1]. Channel Performance - Offline and online channel revenues for the first nine months were 1.967 billion and 394 million yuan, respectively, with offline revenue declining by 1.3% and online revenue increasing by 68.98% [2]. - The Q3 performance showed offline revenue growth of 5.98% and online revenue growth of 55.38% [2]. Cost Management - The company experienced a significant reduction in expense ratios, with sales expense ratio and management expense ratio for Q3 being 7.81% and 5.19%, down 7.78 and 0.73 percentage points year-on-year [2][5].