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润本股份:24Q3净利润延续高增,期待婴童护理新品旺季放量

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected return exceeding 15% compared to the CSI 300 index [6][9]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong financial performance with a revenue increase of 25.98% year-on-year, reaching 1.038 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, and a net profit growth of 44.35%, amounting to 261 million yuan [3][4]. - The introduction of new products, particularly in the infant care segment, is expected to drive further growth, especially during the peak season [5]. - The company maintains a robust profit margin, with a gross margin of 57.57% and a net margin of 27.55% in Q3 2024, reflecting improved profitability [4][5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecast: The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.341 billion yuan in 2024, 1.705 billion yuan in 2025, and 2.133 billion yuan in 2026 [3][7]. - Net Profit Forecast: Expected net profits are 297 million yuan for 2024, 366 million yuan for 2025, and 454 million yuan for 2026 [3][7]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): EPS is forecasted to be 0.73 yuan in 2024, 0.91 yuan in 2025, and 1.12 yuan in 2026 [3][7]. - Valuation Metrics: The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 33.40 in 2024 to 21.86 in 2026, indicating potential for value appreciation [3][7]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on niche markets such as infant care and mosquito repellent products, leveraging a strategy of "big brand, small categories" to meet diverse consumer needs [5]. - The report highlights the company's increasing market recognition and the trend of domestic product substitution, which is expected to enhance its performance [5].