Hwaway Technology(001380) 首创证券·2024-10-31 06:41Investment Rating - Buy rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company reported strong Q3 2024 results with revenue of 5.27 billion yuan, up 53.37% YoY, and net profit of 0.72 billion yuan, up 58.39% YoY [2] - Stabilizer bar revenue grew 138% YoY in the first three quarters of 2024, driving overall revenue growth [2] - Gross margin improved to 26.68% in Q3 2024, up 1.17 ppts YoY and 4.52 ppts QoQ, due to economies of scale and capacity expansion [2] - Market share for suspension springs exceeded 26% and stabilizer bars exceeded 12% in the first three quarters of 2024 [2] - The company is pursuing international expansion through partnerships and acquisitions, including a potential 20 million euro investment in MSSC AHLE GmbH assets [2] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 12.34 billion yuan, up 45.86% YoY [2] - Net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 was 1.53 billion yuan, up 39.92% YoY [2] - Revenue is forecast to grow to 17.8 billion yuan in 2024, 22.9 billion yuan in 2025, and 28.3 billion yuan in 2026 [2][3] - Net profit is expected to reach 2.2 billion yuan in 2024, 2.9 billion yuan in 2025, and 3.7 billion yuan in 2026 [2][3] - EPS is projected to be 1.19 yuan in 2024, 1.59 yuan in 2025, and 2.05 yuan in 2026 [3] Valuation - Current PE ratio is 30.52 and PB ratio is 2.39 [1] - Forecast PE ratios are 17.7 for 2024, 13.3 for 2025, and 10.3 for 2026 [2][3] - Forecast PB ratios are 2.20 for 2024, 1.93 for 2025, and 1.67 for 2026 [4] Business Segments - Suspension spring revenue reached 6.7 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, up 30% YoY [2] - Stabilizer bar revenue reached 3.9 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, up 138% YoY [2] Capacity and Market Position - The company is expanding production capacity in Henan, Chongqing, and Zhuji [2] - Suspension spring market share exceeded 26% and stabilizer bar market share exceeded 12% in the first three quarters of 2024 [2] International Expansion - The company began cooperation with Stellantis in 2023 [2] - A potential 20 million euro investment in MSSC AHLE GmbH assets is planned to support international growth [2] Financial Ratios - Gross margin improved to 26.68% in Q3 2024 [2] - Net margin reached 14.53% in Q3 2024, up 1.04 ppts YoY and 4.03 ppts QoQ [2] - ROE is forecast to increase from 10.9% in 2023 to 16.2% in 2026 [4] - ROIC is expected to grow from 9.9% in 2023 to 15.3% in 2026 [4]