SDHS(SH:600350) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-10-31 06:52Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][2]. Core Insights - The company has experienced a narrowing decline in toll revenue, with growth expected after the completion of ongoing projects [2]. - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 19.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.94%, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.516 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.70% [2]. - The company is progressing with ongoing construction projects and plans to invest in the expansion of the Weilai Expressway [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2022A: 18,486 million yuan - 2023A: 26,546 million yuan - 2024E: 27,721 million yuan - 2025E: 28,572 million yuan - 2026E: 29,546 million yuan - Growth rates: 2023A (44%), 2024E (4%), 2025E (3%), 2026E (3%) [1]. - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2022A: 2,855 million yuan - 2023A: 3,297 million yuan - 2024E: 3,271 million yuan - 2025E: 3,506 million yuan - 2026E: 3,805 million yuan - Growth rates: 2023A (15%), 2024E (-1%), 2025E (7%), 2026E (9%) [1]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2022A: 0.59 yuan - 2023A: 0.68 yuan - 2024E: 0.68 yuan - 2025E: 0.72 yuan - 2026E: 0.79 yuan [1]. - Valuation Ratios: - P/E ratios for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 12.9, 12.1, and 11.1 respectively [1]. - P/B ratios for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E are 1.0, 0.9, and 0.9 respectively [1]. Dividend Policy - The company has a stable dividend policy, with a commitment to distribute at least 60% of the net profit as cash dividends from 2020 to 2024 [2]. - The estimated dividend yield based on the 2023 cash dividend of 0.42 yuan and the closing price of 8.72 yuan on October 29, 2024, is approximately 4.8% [2].