ANGEL YEAST(SH:600298) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2024-10-31 07:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has seen a significant recovery in domestic revenue, while short-term gross margins are under pressure due to rising shipping costs and geopolitical factors [1] - The company is expected to maintain steady revenue growth driven by its leading market position in yeast production and rapid expansion in overseas markets [1][2] Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 13,581 million in 2023 to 18,444 million by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10% [1][2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1,270 million in 2023 to 1,780 million in 2026, with a notable growth rate of 17% in 2025 [1][2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.46 in 2023 to 2.05 in 2026 [1][2] Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 10.912 billion in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 13.04% [1] - The gross margin has faced pressure, decreasing to 21.35% in Q3 2024, primarily due to increased shipping costs and geopolitical influences [1] - The company’s net profit margin has also declined, with a reported net profit of 2.62 billion in Q3 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.02% [1] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is recognized as a leader in the domestic yeast market, continuously focusing on its core business and expanding its market share [1][2] - The overseas business is expected to maintain rapid growth, contributing significantly to overall revenue [1][2] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 24.5 in 2023 to 17.5 by 2026, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [1][2] - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 3.1 in 2023 to 2.2 in 2026, further supporting the investment case [1][2]